So much for "compassionate conservatism." During his first 100 days, George W. Bush's principal accomplishment, indeed his only one, was to demolish any too-generous illusions about who he is. The mild and moderate character who ran for President, claiming to want more or less the same things Al Gore wanted, has been replaced by a hard-edged, rather maladroit right-winger. Bush brushed aside his own rhetorical flourishes toward bipartisan civility and has engaged in a bare-knuckle (and politically tone-deaf) style of governing that most resembles the notorious theft in the Florida recount operation: Take no prisoners, obliterate the facts and rules of reason, forget the dubious legitimacy upon which this presidency is based. A more likable and personally persuasive leader (think Reagan or Clinton) might have pulled it off. When Bush speaks, one's thoughts drift immediately to whether he will successfully read the words off the card.
This President's beginning is not just ugly, it's ominous. That conclusion
isn't based only on ideology but on the retrograde mindset
of the new Administration. The men in charge--the older guys, his handlers--seem
stuck in a time warp. It's as though Cheney,
O'Neill, Rumsfeld et al. have missed the past twenty years of politics
and evolving public attitudes. Their opacity is potentially
dangerous for the country as they try to bull their way forward, and
Bush the Younger, we predict, will encounter many more rude
surprises. His agenda is out of touch with reality, distant from what
the government should be doing to help this society and
economy get through the darkening waters ahead.
The environmental deletions--arsenic-in-your-water being the operative
symbol--are throwback appeasements to business patrons
and parochial politics (the Bushies seem surprised to learn that people,
including Republicans, do care about these matters). Bush's
abrupt reversal on global warming, discarding his campaign pledge to
reduce carbon dioxide emissions, is the most dangerous shift
and is sure to bite back. The tax-cut legislation is hand-me-down Reaganomics
from the early eighties (Bush's fumbling turn as a
fake Keynesian failed to persuade.) His energy policy--drill we must,
lest we become dependent on foreign oil--is similarly out of
date. Oil-guzzling America is (and ever will be) dependent on imported
oil as long as it fails to reform its consumption patterns, no
matter how much pristine landscape is torn up by drilling rigs (as
even the industry boys privately acknowledge). The cold-warrior
wannabes--let's get it on with the Chinese--held their tongues during
the Hainan Island incident, but they expect their silence to be
rewarded with Star Wars and other arms boodle. The blunt assault on
organized labor, though expected by the unions, has been
meaner and pettier than could have been anticipated. Bush's obeisance
to the right on a woman's choice revives harm to innocents
around the world.
In short, there are no new ideas here. The Bush content is composed
entirely of recycled oldies from the Nixon/Ford and
Reagan/Bush years. Indeed, his government is populated by elder statesmen
and hacks from those administrations, joined by
fervent young acolytes who innocently believe in the restoration. The
older heads, we suspect, are more cynical--pushing through
whatever they can as fast as possible in the knowledge that the conservative
hegemony is living on borrowed time. In other
circumstances, their clash with reality could be entertaining. But
our situation is far too dangerous. As the economy sinks and
unemployment begins to swell, as corporate bankruptcies accumulate,
an eyes-open government would be preparing emergency
measures to stimulate recovery and to rescue millions of debt-soaked
families. The Bush Administration instead pushes through a
bankruptcy bill for bankers. It seeks to whack tax obligations for
the wealthy one more time. It squeezes the very public spending
accounts that could serve as economic stabilizers in troubled times.
Meanwhile, it turns on the smoke machines to promote another round of
free-trade agreements, unwilling to acknowledge the
international rebellion expressed in the streets of Quebec. Bush foreign
policy--the China incident aside--looks like a smashmouth
approach to global relations. We're the big guys. We get to say what
goes. Kyoto and global warming--forget about it. Russia and
China--in your face. South Korea's hopeful reach for détente
with the North is brushed aside. A massively flawed national missile
defense policy is pursued with no regard for existing treaties or the
alarms it raises in Moscow and Beijing, or Paris, Berlin and
London. Expanding NATO to Russia's borders is put on the agenda. All
this amounts to the worst form of America First
triumphalism. Given our burgeoning capital indebtedness to foreign
lenders, a more mature approach would be prudent.
The Bush II years, in sum, promise nasty ideological warfare on virtually
every front that matters--a struggle at least as serious as
the Reagan era's and maybe more, given the decayed state of representative
democracy. The awkward new President's boldness
is encouraged, we observe, by the lame responses of the Democratic
opposition. If Democrats don't make the full-throated fight
now, when may we expect them to do so? If Democrats remain so timid,
popular agitation must build fires under them, too. The
political imperative is not exactly news but requires repeating: Do
not wait for Washington to resolve these great issues. March on
it. Bang on it.