The 100-day honeymoon
of George W. Bush and the national media was
celebrated with
a surfeit of banal analysis and superficial polling data—nearly all
of which ignored
a fundamental question about his Presidency. Why does Mr. Bush
enjoy approval
ratings of better than 55 percent when he is pursuing policies that
most voters
clearly don’t like?
Certainly he
has benefited from the supine Washington press corps, whose leading
voices still
tend to discuss the new President in terms of happy contrast with his
predecessor.
In keeping with this theme, the current clichés echo the “character”
propaganda of
last year’s Republican campaign. Unlike Bill Clinton, according to
the predominant
pap, Mr Bush is “straightforward,” “plain-spoken,” “steady”
and in some
vague sense “Presidential.”
These flattering
descriptions fill a vacuum formerly occupied by critical (and
frequently poisonous)
coverage of the Clinton White House. There is little mystery
about why this
has happened. The conservative attack machine that blared
continuous abuse
of everyone associated with the Clinton administration has been
reprogrammed
into an automated applause track.
The result was
on display last weekend at the White House Correspondents’
Dinner, an event
that has reliably featured obnoxious personal disparagement of the
Clintons, to
the undisguised delight of the assembled reporters and pundits. Now
that Mr. Bush
is President, the only permissible jokes were the mild tweaks he
inflicts upon
himself as disarming schtick. David Carr of Inside.com reported that
Saturday Night
Live comedian Darrell Hammond not only confined his dinner
repartee to
wisecracks about the Clintons and Al Gore, but actually started sniffling
when Mr. Bush
entered the Hilton ballroom.
“It was the perfect
example of all the sucking up to Bush that’s been going on every
day in this
town since he was elected,” complained James Warren, the Chicago
Tribune bureau
chief, who added, “We have been effectively emasculated …. It’s a
natural tendency
of people, including reporters, to want to be liked, and that, combined
with some pretty
impressive early discipline from the Bush people, means that he is having
a great honeymoon.
So far, we’ve made a virtue out of his shortcomings.”
That strange
alchemy is amplified by the powerful rightward tilt of the American
media in recent
years. While the influence of network newscasts and newspaper
editorial pages
shrinks, most political discussion is relegated to cable television, an
environment
where Mr. Bush benefits from an unprecedented ideological
advantage. Emblematic
of this trend was CNBC’s decision to air a program on his
first 100 days
that featured commentary exclusively from the staff of The Wall
Street Journal
editorial page. The “Democrats” and “liberals” who offer their
commentary on
cable, strangely enough, often tend to be Bush admirers who
reserve their
harshest remarks for their own party.
Yet because the
audience for those broadcasts is relatively small, media bias doesn’t
quite explain
Mr. Bush’s buoyancy in recent polls. However partisan the bulk of
political commentary
may be, most Americans probably ignore most of it, just as
they did during
the impeachment crisis. What really protects Mr. Bush from public
displeasure
is that so much reportage and commentary dwells admiringly on the
“style” (or
“discipline”) of his White House rather than on the substance of its policies.
How this imbalance
affects mass opinion is shown in a poll just released by the Pew
Research Center.
The Pew survey found roughly the same approval rating for Mr.
Bush as several
other polls that marked his first 100 days, about 56 percent. But the
Pew researchers
also asked a few questions that revealed a surprising ignorance
about his least
popular policies. Only 25 percent of the respondents were aware of
his decisions
about carbon-dioxide emissions, and even fewer knew that he had
ditched the
Kyoto treaty. Astonishingly, half of those polled said they had “heard
nothing at all
about the debate over arsenic in drinking water.”
If this survey
accurately reflects the dismal level of public knowledge about White
House environmental
policy, then how likely is it that people understand Mr. Bush’s
approach to
taxation, the economy and the budget? Do they realize that his tax cuts
are skewed to
the wealthiest 1 percent of the population? Do they know that he
plans to loot
the Medicare surplus to fund those tax cuts? Are they aware that he is
somewhere to
the right of Ronald Reagan on most issues?
The obvious answer
to such questions suggests still another reason why Mr. Bush
has escaped
the difficulties that might otherwise afflict an aggressively conservative
President, especially
one who lacks a popular mandate. Although the Democratic
leadership in
Congress has resisted some of his worst ideas, they have failed so far
to communicate
a message of opposition and an alternative set of policies.
There is no real
majority backing this President—and now it is past time for
someone to stand
up and declare the honeymoon over.
You may reach Joe Conason via email at: jconason@observer.com