Do Republicans have a greater desire to win and more determination than
Democrats?
Are Democrats too torn to put up a successful fight on fundamental
principles?
You get that sense watching some so-called moderate Democrats rushing
to embrace a Republican tax-cut agreement
that will hand a big victory to President Bush and endanger many of
the programs Democrats purport to be for.
Oh, yes, the Democrats forced Bush to cut back the size of his tax cut,
from $1.6 trillion to $1.25 trillion. Senate
Democratic leader Tom Daschle struggled gamely to argue that Bush "was
dragged kicking and screaming" into
this budget compromise. Daschle credited moderates in both parties
for forcing the president in that direction.
But Daschle also admitted the reduction in the tax cut "wasn't as much
as I would have liked."
That's putting it mildly.
Daschle called a meeting of his Senate brethren yesterday, presumably
to put some steel
(or at least some aluminum) in their spines on the budget.
In fact, this budget plan is incoherent. Its architects failed to reconcile
their desire for a big tax cut with the
clearly expressed desire of Congress, especially the Senate, to spend
more on programs in education, health care
and agriculture. It doesn't take adequate account of the large amounts
of cash Bush will want for the Pentagon
and will need to finance his Social Security privatization plan.
To get a sense of which party is willing to fight hardest, compare what
Republicans did to Bill Clinton during his
first year in office with what Democrats are doing to Bush now. The
Republicans voted as a bloc against Clinton's
first budget in 1993. It fell to Democrats to squeeze out every last
vote from their own ranks, and the Clinton
economic plan, with its tax increases, passed by a single vote in each
House.
Democrats have shown no such solidarity against Bush. In the Senate,
four Democrats
-- John Breaux of Louisiana,
-- Ben Nelson of Nebraska,
-- Robert Torricelli of New Jersey and
-- Zell Miller of Georgia -- have signaled they'll go along with this
tax deal.
This will give Bush the appearance of bipartisanship despite his resolute
refusal
to make any serious concessions to the Democratic leadership.
Moderate Democrats, notably Breaux, argued regularly during the Clinton
years that a president's obligation is to
create coalitions "from the center out." They meant that he should
start with moderate ideas and seek votes from
both sides of the political spectrum and the party divide.
But in this budget negotiation, Bush disdained the very "center out"
strategy these moderates claim to believe in.
He proposed proudly and without apology a stoutly conservative plan
that cuts taxes too much and distributes
far too much of the reduction to the very wealthy.
Far from paying a price for his refusal to reach out, Bush managed to
move the entire tax debate in his direction.
The moderates briefly showed signs of a fight when they forced down
the size of the tax cut on the Senate floor.
But the moderates quickly went along with a "compromise" that will
produce a much bigger tax cut than any
Democrat said was reasonable as recently as a few months ago.
This episode suggests that when anyone in Washington uses big abstractions
-- "center out," "bipartisanship," etc.
-- you should ignore the words and ask where they are trying to push
policy. If moderation was good for Clinton
but unnecessary for Bush, what does that tell you about those using
this language? It says their real agenda was
to foil progressive initiatives and shove policy in a conservative
direction. So far, they've succeeded.
A genuinely moderate approach would have produced a smaller, more fairly
distributed tax cut.
By caving early, the moderates foiled moderation.
Since the details of the tax cut are still to be worked out, there's
time to make it fairer. But you now have to wonder
about these moderates. If they go along with the repeal of the inheritance
tax and big cuts in the top income tax brackets
for the wealthy, you'll know the definition of a moderate: a conservative
who lacks Tom DeLay's guts or candor.
This Bush tax cut is structured shrewdly to affect politics for years to come and lets conservatives set the political agenda.
By essentially wiping out the surplus, Bush and his allies put advocates
of moderately more energetic government
on the defensive. In the future, they will have to argue for rescinding
or repealing tax cuts already passed.
I understand why Bush wants this to happen.
Why this strategy should appeal to anyone who claims to be moderate
is beyond me.